Market Movements
Daily arbitrage gap analysis — Polymarket vs Kalshi.
Palmeiras vs. Cerro Porteño Leads Arbitrage Gaps with 1076% Spread
Arbitrage opportunities today are dominated by significant structural mismatches, though execution remains heavily constrained by low liquidity and divergent settlement dates.
SE Palmeiras vs Club Cerro Porteño Leads Top Kalshi-Polymarket Arbitrage Gaps
Arbitrage desks monitoring Polymarket and Kalshi have a few wide spreads on the board today, but size execution will be heavily constrained by thin order books.
Palmeiras vs. Cerro Porteño Leads Cross-Venue Gaps; Liquidity Remains Thin
Theoretical cross-venue arbitrage spreads between Polymarket and Kalshi remain historically wide, but execution reality is highly constrained by illiquidity and structural mismatches.
Palmeiras vs. Cerro Porteño Arbitrage Hits 1076% on Paper, But Expiry Mismatches Loom Large
Theoretical yields across Kalshi and Polymarket look massive today, but execution is the main bottleneck.
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño Arbitrage Leads Gaps at 1076% But Faces Expiry Dead Ends
Arbitrage opportunities between Polymarket and Kalshi are displaying highly distorted paper yields today, but execution reality requires caution.
9,423% Arbitrage Gap on Chicago June 14 Temperature Contracts
A structural mismatch in settlement timing has opened highly profitable arbitrage channels between Polymarket and Kalshi weather contracts.
Palmeiras vs. Cerro Porteño Leads Cross-Venue Gaps with 1076% Nominal Spread
### Execution Intel While the nominal spreads on today's board look highly lucrative, execution requires extreme caution.
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Leads Top Kalshi-Polymarket Arbitrage Gaps
Arbitrage opportunities are widening across sports and political markets, but execution risks are high due to settlement mismatches and stale contracts.
Atlanta Weather Arb Offers 9423% Spread as Kalshi and Polymarket Dislocate
A massive pricing dislocation has opened up across municipal weather contracts.
94% Yield: Dallas Max Temperature Settlement Arbitrage Hits Kalshi and Polymarket
A structural settlement lag between Polymarket and Kalshi has opened up a massive synthetic arbitrage window on May 31 weather contracts.
Malta Parliamentary Election Arbitrage Yields Mismatched 1552% Gap
Liquidity warning: Multiple massive arbitrage gaps are open across Kalshi and Polymarket today, but execution is highly constrained by thin order books and severe expiration mismatches.
Austin Temp Market Leads Massive 9,423% Arbitrage Spread Between Kalshi and Polymarket
A series of massive pricing discrepancies has opened up between Polymarket and Kalshi on daily temperature markets for May 27 and May 29, led by Austin's May 27 contracts.
Brazil Q1 2026 GDP Arbitrage Leads Pack with 1,539% Spread
Arbitrage spreads are widening across macro, political, and sports markets, but execution requires navigating extreme liquidity constraints and settlement mismatches.
Malta Parliamentary Election Arbitrage Yields 1552% Gap Amid Major Expiry and Liquidity Risks
A series of massive pricing mismatches has opened up between Kalshi and Polymarket, led by a 1552.
Alabama Republican Senate Primary Leads Kalshi-Polymarket Gaps at 1438% Arbitrage
Capital lockup and duration risk dominate today's top arbitrage opportunities between Polymarket and Kalshi.