Market Movements
Daily arbitrage gap analysis — Polymarket vs Kalshi.
Palmeiras vs. Cerro Porteño Arbitrage Gap Tops 1,076% Return
A massive 1076.
94% Yield: Dallas Max Temperature Settlement Arbitrage Hits Kalshi and Polymarket
A structural settlement lag between Polymarket and Kalshi has opened up a massive synthetic arbitrage window on May 31 weather contracts.
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteno Tops Arbitrage Board as Expiry Discrepancies Distort Spreads
Arbitrage spreads are exceptionally wide today, but execution viability is heavily constrained by contract expirations and dry liquidity pools.
Malta Parliamentary Election Arbitrage Yields Mismatched 1552% Gap
Liquidity warning: Multiple massive arbitrage gaps are open across Kalshi and Polymarket today, but execution is highly constrained by thin order books and severe expiration mismatches.
Austin Temp Market Leads Massive 9,423% Arbitrage Spread Between Kalshi and Polymarket
A series of massive pricing discrepancies has opened up between Polymarket and Kalshi on daily temperature markets for May 27 and May 29, led by Austin's May 27 contracts.
Brazil Q1 2026 GDP Arbitrage Leads Pack with 1,539% Spread
Arbitrage spreads are widening across macro, political, and sports markets, but execution requires navigating extreme liquidity constraints and settlement mismatches.
Malta Parliamentary Election Arbitrage Yields 1552% Gap Amid Major Expiry and Liquidity Risks
A series of massive pricing mismatches has opened up between Kalshi and Polymarket, led by a 1552.
Alabama Republican Senate Primary Leads Kalshi-Polymarket Gaps at 1438% Arbitrage
Capital lockup and duration risk dominate today's top arbitrage opportunities between Polymarket and Kalshi.