Polymarket
vs
Kalshi

Compare odds across prediction markets

Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the same events differently. We match them up and show you where the gaps are.

Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
KalshiNBA Champion
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Kalshi2026 French Open
PolymarketRepublican Primary 2028
KalshiCalifornia Governor
PolymarketPGA Championship
KalshiFed Rate Decision
PolymarketCongress Balance of Power
KalshiIsrael Prime Minister
PolymarketBitcoin price end of year
KalshiStanley Cup Champion
Polymarket2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
KalshiNBA Champion
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Kalshi2026 French Open
PolymarketRepublican Primary 2028
KalshiCalifornia Governor
PolymarketPGA Championship
KalshiFed Rate Decision
PolymarketCongress Balance of Power
KalshiIsrael Prime Minister
PolymarketBitcoin price end of year
KalshiStanley Cup Champion

Markets tracked

15,653

$8674.3M total vol

Matched events

1,326

Outcome pairs

5,765

Arb opportunities

1,575

Live

Right now we track 1,326 matched events across both platforms, covering 5,765 individual outcome pairs. Wherever prices diverge, we surface it. There are currently 1,575 arbitrage opportunities in the live snapshot — and our Telegram bot pings you the moment new ones appear.

A sample of what we track

All markets
EventPolymarket PolyKalshi KalshiGap
2026 FIFA World Cup · Spain16.2%14.1%+2.1pp
2028 GOP Primary · Donald Trump41.0%38.0%+3.0pp
NBA MVP · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander31.0%28.0%+3.0pp
Brazil Presidential · Lula da Silva44.0%41.0%+3.0pp
Fed Rate Decision · Cut by 25bps38.0%35.0%+3.0pp

How it works

01

Markets are matched

An AI matcher finds equivalent markets on both platforms. "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner" on Polymarket corresponds to "2026 Men's World Cup Winner" on Kalshi.

02

Prices are compared

For every outcome we pull the current ask price from each platform. Spain at 16.2% on Polymarket vs. 14.1% on Kalshi is a 2.1 percentage point gap.

03

Gaps surface automatically

When the combined cost of YES on one side and NO on the other is less than $1, you have a risk-free arbitrage. The scanner flags these as they appear.

Free alerts
Telegram

Get arbitrage alerts on Telegram

The scanner watches Polymarket and Kalshi prices live. When a new ≥2% spread appears, our bot pings you instantly — no app to install, no email to check. Just /start in Telegram.

  • Fires every 10 minutes
  • Top 5 opps per alert
  • Free, /stop any time
PolymarketvsKalshi

Ready to start comparing?

15,653 markets, 1,575 arb opportunities right now.